Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.003152 0.003304 0.003458 0.003628 0.003809 0.003997 0.004207
2025-04-13 0.002801 0.003018 0.003248 0.003511 0.003804 0.004120 0.004491
2025-04-20 0.002642 0.002902 0.003184 0.003515 0.003895 0.004320 0.004834
2025-04-27 0.002552 0.002846 0.003174 0.003567 0.004030 0.004562 0.005224
2025-05-04 0.002428 0.002742 0.003097 0.003532 0.004054 0.004667 0.005451
2025-05-11 0.002329 0.002659 0.003038 0.003510 0.004087 0.004779 0.005684
2025-05-18 0.002241 0.002583 0.002982 0.003485 0.004112 0.004877 0.005899
2025-05-25 0.002204 0.002565 0.002992 0.003539 0.004232 0.005095 0.006274
2025-06-01 0.002138 0.002509 0.002952 0.003528 0.004268 0.005205 0.006511
2025-06-08 0.002070 0.002447 0.002902 0.003500 0.004280 0.005282 0.006703
2025-06-15 0.001995 0.002373 0.002833 0.003445 0.004252 0.005304 0.006820
2025-06-22 0.001929 0.002309 0.002775 0.003400 0.004235 0.005337 0.006950
2025-06-29 0.001886 0.002273 0.002751 0.003401 0.004279 0.005455 0.007209
2025-07-06 0.001799 0.002177 0.002649 0.003294 0.004173 0.005364 0.007161
2025-07-13 0.001764 0.002148 0.002631 0.003298 0.004218 0.005482 0.007423
2025-07-20 0.001749 0.002144 0.002645 0.003345 0.004324 0.005689 0.007828
2025-07-27 0.001703 0.002098 0.002602 0.003313 0.004316 0.005732 0.007983
2025-08-03 0.001664 0.002060 0.002570 0.003293 0.004324 0.005798 0.008176
2025-08-10 0.001627 0.002023 0.002536 0.003270 0.004327 0.005855 0.008357
2025-08-17 0.001618 0.002023 0.002554 0.003319 0.004436 0.006074 0.008806
2025-08-24 0.001588 0.001994 0.002530 0.003309 0.004456 0.006158 0.009041
2025-08-31 0.001554 0.001959 0.002496 0.003284 0.004452 0.006205 0.009214
2025-09-07 0.001512 0.001913 0.002447 0.003233 0.004410 0.006189 0.009280